9/11 Showdown FSU vs. Oklahoma

I know I’m a week early, but FSU plays lowly Samford tomorrow, so not really much analysis needed for that game.  As you might’ve noticed, I’m an FSU homer.  I grew up in Tallahassee, I graduated from FSU twice, they have more money of mine than any other single source I’m not related to and I’m a lifelong fan.

So I want to examine the chances of FSU upsetting Oklahoma in Norman on September 11.  Now I’ll say right up front, I don’t think it’ll happen.  FSU is on the right track finally, I think, but they aren’t quite there yet, and they probably aren’t ready for No. 7 on the road, particularly defensively.

That being said, I want to talk about how FSU might win.  Again, not likely, but still probably more possible than most people think. Here are the reasons they might win:

1. FSU dominated BYU last year on the road and BYU managed to beat Oklahoma.  FSU should be a significantly better team this year (although Oklahoma should be better, too).  This one is a stretch, logically speaking, but it means that an upset should at least be thought about.

2. FSU’s offense has the possibility of being one of the best, if not the best, in the nation.  Christian Ponder is the best quarterback FSU has had in a decade and one of the best in the nation.  He should have little problem picking apart Oklahoma’s zone, particularly when their CBs are their weakest link defensively. Ponder’s back to full health and he has a strong returning cast around him — 19 of 22 of the two-deep chart are back — that performed very well last season.  There is experience and depth everywhere except receiver and if the talented, but inexperienced, receivers develop quickly, then this team will average over 40 points per game easily.

3. FSU’s defense will be much improved.  The uncertainty of who was in charge is gone.  The lack of discipline is gone.  The injuries are, for the most part, over.  The scheme is improved and the talent was always there. Performance in practice has been superb, which means something since they are lining up against a top-tier offense.  The D won’t stop the Sooners, but it could slow them down enough to allow Ponder to do his thing.

4. New defensive coordinator Mark Stoops brings insider knowledge of his brother Bob’s game plans.  FSU should know more about what Oklahoma’s going to do than any other team they play because of this connection, which could help FSU overcome some talent mismatches by being able to counter the Oklahoma schemes.

5. The element of surprise is with FSU.  No one is expecting too much from FSU and Oklahoma might overlook FSU looking down the road towards bigger things.  Add to that the fact that there isn’t really any existing footage of FSU’s new schemes for Oklahoma to learn from and they really won’t have a great idea of what FSU is going to do.

That being said, here’s why FSU probably won’t win.

1. New head coach, new coordinators, new schemes on both sides of the ball.  Very difficult to execute all of this well in such a short period of time.

2. The defense has a LOT of improvement to do.  They will improve a lot this year, but will it be enough and quickly enough.  Probably not this early.

3. Oklahoma’s Stoops is also familiar with FSU’s Stoops.  Which brother can best figure out what the other will do is a key, Oklahoma’s Stoops has been doing it longer and better.

4. Oklahoma just has more talent, experience and depth across the board.

5. The game is in Norman.

I never pick against my home team, though, so I’ll predict a slight victory for FSU, 35-31, knowing that it’s an unrealistic prediction.  As for tomorrow against Samford, I’m predicting a 52-17 blowout for FSU.

This entry was posted in football. Bookmark the permalink. Post a comment or leave a trackback: Trackback URL.

5 Comments

  1. Posted October 5, 2014 at 6:24 am | Permalink

    North Korea’s next leader, Kim Jong Un walks beside the black hearse which is carrying
    the body of his late father and North Korean leader Kim Jong Il
    to leave the Kumsusan Memorial Palace ‘. Roaches take over the kitchen while
    cats take over the home of a deceased grandma. To eat several cloves of crushed garlic can effectively prevent the occurrence of acute dysentery and enteritis; if being cooked, the effect of garlic will greatly reduced.
    But again, your play style is a prime consideration. The hack relies on an exploit of Sony’s password reset system.
    Sony’s statement mentions “maintenance,” not another hack, though.
    This correlates to the cadence of a natural walk, but watching it for a screen for extended periods of
    time can be difficult for some. Despite the roll Nintendo developed games
    are on over the last two years, they can’t make enough
    games to keep the trend up with Microsoft and Sony nipping at
    their heels. If you adored this post and you would like to receive even more information concerning kindly visit our own site.

    Take this information only as a rumor at this point.
    The brightest spot was Sony giving away 12 free games to
    Plus Members, unfortunately I don’t have enough space on my hard drive for
    all these games. Gone is the “holy trinity” of healer, tank and damage dealers.
    For “hardcore” gamers, it’s always been and always will be about the games.
    With its HTML browsers, accessing high speed Internet has also become easier.
    The silent protagonist with a great supporting cast has the potential to grab and hold a player through
    a long experience. The price of Sega games has been reduced drastically in order to direct the attention of
    people towards them but no success can be seen in the near
    offing in this regard. Gamers can only hope that other companies follow the
    lead of Square Enix and continue to intensify account security.
    5 million Facebook accounts for a measly payout – “. Jet – Pac is a ZX Spectrum, VIC-20 and BBC Mico video game developed and released by Ultimate Play The Game in 1983. Flight – Gear is a flight simulator program that’s becoming more and more popular and it is free. Additionally you can put garbage in his mouth and Stinky reacts by opening and shutting his jaws and uttering ingesting sounds. The terror in these pages has a way of subtly creeping into the readers mind and taking root. Who will win the lucky spots with the biggest prizes. The scenes only get more intense the longer the trailer runs. In one activity, the player used the DS stylus to add various ingredients to a pot to make a special hot sauce.

  2. Posted July 1, 2015 at 4:44 pm | Permalink

    Thanks a lott for ѕaring this with all folks you reallу understand
    what үou aree speaking about! Bookmarked. Kindlү additionally consult with my site
    =). We can have a link change arrangement аmong us

    Also visit mmy site … sales jobs los angeles, Luke,

  3. Posted August 25, 2015 at 7:34 am | Permalink

    Great delivery. Solid arguments. Keep սp the amazing work.

    Have ɑ look at myy webpage pharmaceutical recruiters

  4. Posted September 9, 2015 at 1:13 pm | Permalink

    Thanks in favor of sharing such a good thinking, post is fastidious, thats why i have read
    it entirely

  5. Posted September 12, 2015 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    I was ѕuggested this website by my cousin. I
    am not sure whethеr tҺis post is written by
    him as no one else know such detailed about my difficսlty.

    You are incredible! Тhanks!

Post a Comment

Your email is never published nor shared. Required fields are marked *

*
*

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>